| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
53,249 |
0.795 |
$42,332.81 |
$20,659.05 |
+95.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
46,994 |
0.835 |
$39,239.65 |
$-1,883.88 |
-4.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
39,303 |
0.845 |
$33,210.97 |
$3,101.31 |
+10.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
5,069 |
0.494 |
$2,503.89 |
$1,466.04 |
+141.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
3,000 |
0.705 |
$2,115.00 |
$-135.00 |
-6.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,339 |
0.723 |
$967.41 |
$-339.23 |
-26.0% |
| Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? |
Yes |
1,321 |
0.716 |
$945.62 |
$-52.28 |
-5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,384 |
0.375 |
$894.05 |
$-131.13 |
-12.8% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? |
No |
661 |
0.680 |
$449.45 |
$-102.03 |
-18.5% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
420 |
0.255 |
$107.19 |
$39.94 |
+59.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
410 |
0.177 |
$72.77 |
$-185.64 |
-71.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? |
Yes |
308 |
0.180 |
$55.40 |
$-99.94 |
-64.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
Yes |
80 |
0.055 |
$4.40 |
$-9.20 |
-67.6% |