| Maduro guilty of all counts? |
No |
1,726 |
0.725 |
$1,251.40 |
$-81.60 |
-6.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
Yes |
14,829 |
0.065 |
$963.86 |
$-1,188.25 |
-55.2% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
1,520 |
0.285 |
$433.13 |
$-122.24 |
-22.0% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
No |
342 |
0.345 |
$117.85 |
$-8.81 |
-7.0% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
No |
102 |
0.977 |
$99.24 |
$-0.76 |
-0.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
535 |
0.180 |
$96.38 |
$-99.52 |
-50.8% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? |
Yes |
425 |
0.130 |
$55.19 |
$-137.81 |
-71.4% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? |
No |
96 |
0.540 |
$52.10 |
$2.10 |
+4.2% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? |
Yes |
147 |
0.320 |
$47.07 |
$-2.93 |
-5.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
33 |
1.000 |
$33.25 |
$0.25 |
+0.8% |
| Trump out as President by August 31? |
Yes |
3,999 |
0.007 |
$29.99 |
$-10.00 |
-25.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
99 |
0.184 |
$18.27 |
$-1.73 |
-8.7% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
18 |
0.715 |
$12.68 |
$2.68 |
+26.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay |
Yes |
103 |
0.095 |
$9.74 |
$-15.26 |
-61.0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? |
Yes |
550 |
0.014 |
$7.70 |
$-9.30 |
-54.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
29 |
0.235 |
$6.91 |
$-3.09 |
-30.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
12 |
0.535 |
$6.53 |
$1.53 |
+30.6% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? |
No |
24 |
0.200 |
$4.76 |
$-5.24 |
-52.4% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
Yes |
22 |
0.105 |
$2.28 |
$-7.72 |
-77.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? |
Yes |
143 |
0.013 |
$1.86 |
$-18.14 |
-90.7% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? |
Yes |
222 |
0.004 |
$0.78 |
$-4.22 |
-84.4% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? |
No |
2 |
0.275 |
$0.48 |
$-0.52 |
-51.8% |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
Yes |
21 |
0.022 |
$0.48 |
$-0.52 |
-52.1% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
75 |
0.003 |
$0.19 |
$-4.81 |
-96.3% |