PnL (30d)

−$785

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$194

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-9.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

131W / 60L · 231 open

Win Return (30d)

45%

190W / 232L

Trades (30d)

422

across 23 markets · ~18 per market

EV / position

−$71.32

avg win $36 · loss $200

Profit Factor

0.22

$217 won / $1,002 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	68.6% 131W/60L	23	$16,927
🏛 Politics	100.0% 17W/0L	5	$3,615

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	2,754	0.115	$316.73	$-9.11	-2.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	888	0.220	$195.36	$0.00	+0.0%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	2,576	0.065	$167.46	$-101.88	-37.8%
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	2,710	0.052	$140.91	$-25.70	-15.4%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	211	0.560	$117.89	$-18.94	-13.8%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	904	0.125	$113.02	$-78.71	-41.1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	1,274	0.065	$82.84	$-21.76	-20.8%
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	218	0.145	$31.61	$-9.73	-23.5%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	9	0.940	$8.60	$1.77	+26.0%