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Trader leaderboard/bearbees2

bearbees2

0x12b8e7c160f3ced67a22b7eadf764cd1c2c4479c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
no 30d activity
Trades (30d)
2
across 1 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,922 · all-time $2,443,788

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.5% 47W/32L 31 $69,873
🏛 Politics 100.0% 6W/0L 6 $3,772
⚽ Sports 3 $6,113
🎬 Culture 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $3
💵 Economy 100.0% 4W/0L 1 $1,512
🌤 Weather 1 $3,848
🔬 Science 1 $3,848

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 52,000 0.866 $45,006.00 $19,006.00 +73.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 16,000 0.911 $14,584.00 $6,584.00 +82.3%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 52,000 0.135 $6,994.00 $-19,006.00 -73.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 11,137 0.595 $6,626.49 $240.63 +3.8%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 6,000 0.962 $5,772.01 $2.00 +0.0%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 5,674 0.965 $5,475.83 $802.27 +17.2%
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? No 4,719 0.969 $4,570.38 $26.20 +0.6%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 3,000 0.942 $2,824.50 $25.50 +0.9%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 2,400 0.955 $2,292.00 $282.00 +14.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No 2,025 0.970 $1,963.39 $43.57 +2.3%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No 1,603 0.925 $1,482.40 $-1.30 -0.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16,000 0.088 $1,416.00 $-6,584.00 -82.3%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 1,160 0.875 $1,015.09 $231.63 +29.6%
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August? No 987 0.988 $974.76 $3.83 +0.4%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 1,000 0.957 $956.49 $1.50 +0.2%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No 1,051 0.885 $930.40 $292.92 +46.0%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No 672 0.960 $644.72 $5.71 +0.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? No 1,597 0.375 $598.79 $-524.75 -46.7%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 524 0.968 $507.14 $64.57 +14.6%
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No 367 0.989 $363.02 $53.94 +17.5%
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in August? No 270 0.993 $267.61 $0.94 +0.4%
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No 121 0.865 $104.50 $38.06 +57.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? Yes 11,820 0.004 $53.19 $17.74 +50.0%
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No 41 0.929 $38.47 $4.95 +14.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? Yes 5,000 0.007 $37.50 $17.65 +88.9%