| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
659 |
0.805 |
$530.30 |
$96.30 |
+22.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
458 |
0.885 |
$405.29 |
$28.47 |
+7.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
500 |
0.745 |
$372.54 |
$105.65 |
+39.6% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? |
No |
379 |
0.740 |
$280.63 |
$18.45 |
+7.0% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
No |
230 |
0.940 |
$215.75 |
$13.77 |
+6.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
469 |
0.455 |
$213.30 |
$-37.49 |
-14.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
295 |
0.715 |
$210.87 |
$40.69 |
+23.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? |
Yes |
219 |
0.745 |
$163.11 |
$22.80 |
+16.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
420 |
0.355 |
$149.10 |
$17.70 |
+13.5% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,543 |
0.085 |
$131.14 |
$-22.09 |
-14.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,481 |
0.088 |
$131.10 |
$54.21 |
+70.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
159 |
0.625 |
$99.09 |
$6.72 |
+7.3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
126 |
0.735 |
$92.36 |
$64.97 |
+237.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? |
No |
214 |
0.375 |
$80.31 |
$-12.68 |
-13.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
No |
104 |
0.775 |
$80.27 |
$0.15 |
+0.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
542 |
0.135 |
$72.93 |
$14.72 |
+25.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
151 |
0.415 |
$62.48 |
$-19.06 |
-23.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.315 |
$47.25 |
$-0.75 |
-1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
267 |
0.165 |
$44.05 |
$9.77 |
+28.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
128 |
0.278 |
$35.48 |
$9.26 |
+35.3% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
702 |
0.044 |
$31.26 |
$-4.66 |
-13.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.815 |
$29.10 |
$0.89 |
+3.2% |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? |
No |
45 |
0.405 |
$18.14 |
$-5.15 |
-22.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
329 |
0.043 |
$13.97 |
$-12.72 |
-47.7% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
Yes |
119 |
0.095 |
$11.29 |
$-14.69 |
-56.5% |