PnL (30d)

+$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$258

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

50%

2W / 2L · 31 open

Win Return (30d)

6%

2W / 33L

Trades (30d)

35

across 7 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.30

avg win $4 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.28

$4 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

2.56

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	22.7% 5W/17L	16	$4,141
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	3	$615

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	725	0.865	$626.85	$25.36	+4.2%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	1,329	0.356	$473.75	$-33.87	-6.7%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	358	0.210	$75.19	$-125.31	-62.5%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4,825	0.001	$2.41	$-282.41	-99.2%