| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
398,497 |
0.790 |
$315,011.88 |
$115,763.38 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
398,497 |
0.209 |
$83,485.12 |
$-115,763.38 |
-58.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.865 |
$7,785.00 |
$3,285.00 |
+73.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
6,579 |
0.135 |
$888.18 |
$-2,401.37 |
-73.0% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
715 |
0.905 |
$646.66 |
$10.86 |
+1.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
544 |
0.360 |
$195.84 |
$-126.56 |
-39.3% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
Yes |
2,151 |
0.067 |
$143.01 |
$-1,180.88 |
-89.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,984 |
0.043 |
$84.32 |
$-132.22 |
-61.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
497 |
0.115 |
$57.12 |
$-48.57 |
-46.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
333 |
0.155 |
$51.62 |
$-51.62 |
-50.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
666 |
0.075 |
$49.95 |
$-49.95 |
-50.0% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
303 |
0.125 |
$37.90 |
$-13.23 |
-25.9% |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? |
Yes |
323 |
0.051 |
$16.64 |
$-258.21 |
-93.9% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.070 |
$14.00 |
$-24.00 |
-63.2% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? |
Yes |
256 |
0.045 |
$11.65 |
$-12.89 |
-52.5% |