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Trader leaderboard/sludgelife

sludgelife

0x11b9d90b226e29d29b2cb52f82e30452ee8fd361
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$4
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$17
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
93%
71W / 5L · 285 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
213W / 128L · 20 open
Trades (30d)
361
across 84 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$0.63
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.59
$6 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $597 · all-time $87,527

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 82.2% 83W/18L 129 $5,714
💵 Economy 10.0% 1W/9L 23 $505
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/8L 17 $431
🤖 Tech 5 $75
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 5 $125
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $32
🌤 Weather 1 $32
🔬 Science 1 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

106 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes 100 0.590 $59.00 $-13.00 -18.1%
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No 50 0.700 $35.00 $-6.50 -15.7%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? Yes 50 0.695 $34.74 $-8.76 -20.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 52 0.615 $31.90 $-4.45 -12.2%
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 55 0.565 $31.07 $-10.73 -25.7%
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No 50 0.560 $28.00 $-1.50 -5.1%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No 50 0.515 $25.75 $-5.75 -18.3%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? Yes 50 0.510 $25.50 $-4.50 -15.0%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 26 0.895 $23.55 $3.55 +17.8%
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings? No 50 0.455 $22.75 $-6.75 -22.9%
Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? No 50 0.425 $21.25 $-7.75 -26.7%
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? No 22 0.920 $20.42 $0.44 +2.2%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 24 0.855 $20.41 $-0.82 -3.9%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 22 0.925 $20.17 $0.11 +0.5%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.930 $20.04 $0.00 +0.0%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 21 0.950 $19.97 $0.00 +0.0%
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 23 0.865 $19.88 $-0.11 -0.6%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 22 0.880 $19.78 $-0.22 -1.1%
Tabi FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 21 0.957 $19.73 $-0.28 -1.4%
Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch No 20 0.969 $19.65 $-0.25 -1.3%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 20 0.972 $19.57 $-0.21 -1.1%
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No 21 0.916 $19.42 $-0.51 -2.6%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 23 0.835 $19.37 $-0.58 -2.9%
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 21 0.922 $19.20 $-0.72 -3.6%
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 21 0.935 $19.19 $-0.76 -3.8%