PnL (30d)

−$19

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

115W / 71L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

118W / 75L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

195

across 95 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.22

avg win $0 · loss $1

Profit Factor

0.38

$12 won / $32 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$11

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	61.8% 115W/71L	95	$1,328
🏛 Politics	66.7% 2W/1L	3	$17
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$7
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?	No	7	0.986	$7.15	$0.15	+2.1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	No	7	0.976	$7.15	$0.15	+2.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	No	7	0.982	$7.08	$0.08	+1.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?	No	7	0.968	$6.92	$-0.08	-1.1%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	6	0.945	$5.89	$-0.09	-1.6%