PnL (30d)

+$1,697

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$254

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

881W / 1,432L · 76 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

937W / 1,448L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

2,389

across 397 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

+$4.44

avg win $254 · loss $170

Profit Factor

1.04

$39,913 won / $38,215 lost

Reward / Risk

1.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$3,960

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	38.1% 881W/1,432L	397	$81,905
⚽ Sports	32.7% 184W/378L	88	$21,212
₿ Crypto	—	2	$1,007

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,500	0.755	$1,132.49	$34.51	+3.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,700	0.455	$773.49	$0.50	+0.1%
UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Alexia Thainara	816	0.715	$583.46	$16.55	+2.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	851	0.640	$544.53	$127.23	+30.5%
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	814	0.335	$272.81	$100.06	+57.9%
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mateusz Gamrot	623	0.435	$270.80	$41.59	+18.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	300	0.795	$238.50	$41.25	+20.9%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs	Johnny Speeds	543	0.435	$236.14	$35.29	+17.6%
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	567	0.410	$232.39	$-9.93	-4.1%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	300	0.675	$202.50	$4.50	+2.3%
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	500	0.165	$82.50	$-13.50	-14.1%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs	Liquid	100	0.655	$65.49	$4.50	+7.4%
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Sean O'Malley next?	Yes	197	0.296	$58.40	$56.40	+2820.3%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,100	0.023	$48.30	$22.70	+88.7%
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	2,200	0.017	$36.30	$7.70	+26.9%
UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)	Quillan Salkilld	28	0.565	$16.09	$2.92	+22.2%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	300	0.048	$14.25	$3.15	+28.4%
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	330	0.026	$8.74	$-21.47	-71.1%
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?	Yes	742	0.002	$1.11	$-12.23	-91.7%