PnL (30d)

+$683

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$261

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+3.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

22W / 9L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

25W / 9L

Trades (30d)

34

across 22 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$34.16

avg win $325 · loss $1,616

Profit Factor

1.14

$5,530 won / $4,847 lost

Reward / Risk

0.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$170

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	51.1% 71W/68L	54	$84,475
🏛 Politics	28.6% 2W/5L	6	$9,080
🎬 Culture	28.6% 2W/5L	6	$9,080

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4,211	0.979	$4,122.11	$122.11	+3.1%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	4,978	0.822	$4,089.37	$139.37	+3.5%