PnL (30d)

−$304

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$0

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-11.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

119W / 81L · 6 open

Win Return (30d)

60%

122W / 83L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

206

across 126 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$2.49

avg win $2 · loss $11

Profit Factor

0.34

$154 won / $458 lost

Reward / Risk

0.18

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$9

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.5% 119W/81L	126	$3,523
₿ Crypto	60.0% 3W/2L	6	$88
💵 Economy	60.0% 3W/2L	5	$87
⚽ Sports	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	23	0.893	$20.53	$-1.63	-7.3%
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	15	0.685	$10.54	$0.53	+5.3%
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	11	0.955	$10.27	$0.27	+2.7%
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	32	0.180	$5.75	$-8.25	-58.9%
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	6	0.870	$5.06	$0.06	+1.2%