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Trader leaderboard/Hans323

Hans323

0x0f37cb80dee49d55b5f6d9e595d52591d6371410
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$347
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
92%
59W / 5L
Win Return (30d)
92%
59W / 5L
Trades (30d)
64
across 11 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$31.52
avg win $44 · loss $1
Profit Factor
136.44
$349 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
51.16
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $62,269 · all-time $10,784,955

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.2% 306W/112L 134 $67,144
🏛 Politics 5.6% 1W/17L 33 $19,738
💵 Economy 2 $344
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

34 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 15,000 0.816 $12,232.50 $4,732.50 +63.1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 15,000 0.184 $2,767.50 $-4,732.50 -63.1%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 30,000 0.088 $2,655.00 $85.02 +3.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 9,264 0.250 $2,315.97 $-278.18 -10.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 13,770 0.143 $1,976.00 $157.21 +8.6%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 4,346 0.356 $1,549.49 $-148.53 -8.7%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No 2,385 0.440 $1,049.22 $118.62 +12.7%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 2,000 0.365 $730.00 $-30.00 -3.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Yes 14,108 0.051 $718.08 $-726.39 -50.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes 668 0.700 $467.26 $53.40 +12.9%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.455 $455.00 $-56.19 -11.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,000 0.445 $445.00 $5.00 +1.1%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 643 0.665 $427.91 $-3.22 -0.7%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 810 0.450 $364.50 $8.10 +2.3%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 1,470 0.215 $316.14 $25.76 +8.9%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 500 0.615 $307.50 $-12.50 -3.9%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? Yes 668 0.385 $257.10 $117.72 +84.5%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes 508 0.445 $226.08 $-54.02 -19.3%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No 300 0.625 $187.50 $-6.50 -3.4%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes 354 0.485 $171.47 $8.84 +5.4%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 5,805 0.029 $171.24 $-31.48 -15.5%
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No 303 0.440 $133.11 $-41.37 -23.7%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 271 0.485 $131.44 $6.77 +5.4%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes 473 0.275 $129.98 $2.36 +1.9%
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes 857 0.145 $124.31 $30.01 +31.8%