| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
403 |
0.645 |
$260.00 |
$79.50 |
+44.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
264 |
0.675 |
$178.04 |
$24.69 |
+16.1% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
157 |
0.970 |
$151.84 |
$8.90 |
+6.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
169 |
0.645 |
$108.79 |
$14.92 |
+15.9% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.930 |
$93.00 |
$93.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
105 |
0.835 |
$87.42 |
$6.22 |
+7.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
94 |
0.786 |
$73.85 |
$13.85 |
+23.1% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.984 |
$68.54 |
$0.91 |
+1.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
72 |
0.926 |
$67.00 |
$7.00 |
+11.7% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? |
No |
61 |
0.985 |
$59.70 |
$-0.30 |
-0.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
66 |
0.885 |
$58.26 |
$10.58 |
+22.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
621 |
0.088 |
$54.95 |
$-2.69 |
-4.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
64 |
0.845 |
$53.68 |
$4.13 |
+8.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
52 |
0.987 |
$51.69 |
$1.69 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
60 |
0.865 |
$51.49 |
$1.49 |
+3.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? |
No |
102 |
0.495 |
$50.51 |
$0.51 |
+1.0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
53 |
0.949 |
$49.91 |
$1.91 |
+4.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
55 |
0.905 |
$49.44 |
$-0.55 |
-1.1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,246 |
0.040 |
$49.20 |
$0.20 |
+0.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
129 |
0.355 |
$45.91 |
$-14.02 |
-23.4% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
54 |
0.823 |
$44.17 |
$4.16 |
+10.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
370 |
0.117 |
$43.15 |
$-16.85 |
-28.1% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
42 |
0.977 |
$40.90 |
$0.90 |
+2.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
83 |
0.460 |
$38.19 |
$8.19 |
+27.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
82 |
0.455 |
$37.43 |
$1.23 |
+3.4% |