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Trader

0x0eec4a7fd0443352736c83c20d8055af02cce587
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$9
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$103
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
34W / 20L · 119 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
91W / 79L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
173
across 61 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.45
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.51
$25 won / $17 lost
Reward / Risk
1.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,085 · all-time $569,260

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 51.1% 112W/107L 215 $5,199
🏛 Politics 15.4% 2W/11L 27 $626
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 16 $131
⚽ Sports 100.0% 18W/0L 10 $355
🤖 Tech 1 $7

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? No 146 0.678 $99.24 $20.35 +25.8%
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? No 150 0.655 $97.98 $62.08 +172.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 74 1.000 $74.06 $10.18 +15.9%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 100 0.675 $67.50 $0.50 +0.7%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 59 0.996 $58.39 $19.68 +50.8%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 60 0.849 $51.20 $-4.39 -7.9%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 61 0.828 $50.57 $4.35 +9.4%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 79 0.625 $49.11 $12.97 +35.9%
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30? Yes 95 0.490 $46.68 $20.96 +81.5%
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? No 153 0.285 $43.61 $8.18 +23.1%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 142 0.261 $37.04 $0.75 +2.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 37 0.970 $35.89 $23.88 +198.9%
Will Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat? Yes 42 0.835 $35.15 $2.23 +6.8%
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? No 130 0.260 $33.68 $-1.30 -3.7%
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? No 37 0.805 $29.87 $13.17 +78.9%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? Yes 57 0.520 $29.55 $-6.05 -17.0%
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? Yes 57 0.496 $28.20 $4.09 +17.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat? No 30 0.914 $27.47 $0.44 +1.6%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30? Yes 76 0.355 $27.14 $4.97 +22.4%
Will Netflix win the most Emmys? No 33 0.755 $24.88 $0.16 +0.7%
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee? Yes 40 0.620 $24.52 $1.58 +6.9%
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? No 77 0.301 $23.21 $-13.90 -37.5%
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 94 0.233 $21.91 $6.96 +46.5%
Will Bernard Taylor be the FL-21 Democratic nominee? Yes 54 0.400 $21.72 $-14.04 -39.3%
Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 86 0.235 $20.30 $1.79 +9.7%