PnL (30d)

+$4

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

12%

3W / 22L · 22 open

Win Return (30d)

30%

13W / 30L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

47

across 24 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.29

avg win $9 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.77

$9 won / $5 lost

Reward / Risk

21.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	46.1% 663W/776L	678	$818
⚽ Sports	36.5% 84W/146L	131	$144
₿ Crypto	63.6% 7W/4L	16	$35
💵 Economy	33.3% 4W/8L	15	$34
🎬 Culture	14.3% 2W/12L	13	$3
🤖 Tech	14.3% 2W/12L	8	$2
🏛 Politics	—	5	$4
🌤 Weather	—	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners	Over	56	0.499	$27.97	$27.41	+4895.0%
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners	Over	56	0.499	$27.97	$27.41	+4895.0%
Will Martín Rodríguez win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	14	0.485	$6.57	$6.43	+4750.0%
Will Yisela "Yipio" Pintos win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	14	0.485	$6.57	$6.43	+4750.0%
Will Solange "Sol" Abraham win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	14	0.474	$6.42	$6.28	+4640.0%
Will Daniela "Dani" de Lucía win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	14	0.445	$6.03	$5.89	+4350.0%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5	Under	12	0.350	$4.20	$3.84	+1066.7%
Will Danelik Galazan win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	7	0.470	$3.36	$3.28	+4599.9%
Will Jessica "La Maciel" win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	7	0.455	$3.25	$3.18	+4449.9%
Will MrBeast hit 141 billion views by August 31?	Yes	33	0.050	$1.65	$0.99	+150.0%
Will anyone say "Diary" during Big Brother E15?	No	10	0.130	$1.27	$1.08	+550.0%
Will MrBeast hit 138 billion views by August 31?	No	6	0.160	$0.96	$0.79	+465.5%
Will MrBeast hit 140 billion views by August 31?	Yes	11	0.080	$0.88	$0.44	+100.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on August 7?	Yes	22	0.039	$0.85	$0.63	+290.0%
Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	30	0.028	$0.84	$0.68	+442.7%
Will anyone say "Evict" during Big Brother E15?	No	5	0.145	$0.72	$0.62	+625.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 7?	Yes	109	0.006	$0.71	$0.49	+224.9%
Will LDPR win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	26	0.023	$0.60	$0.60	+0.0%
Will Manuel "Manu" Ibero win Big Brother Argentina 2026?	Yes	1	0.490	$0.59	$0.58	+4800.0%
Will Party of Pensioners win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	30	0.018	$0.53	$0.53	+0.0%
Club Almagro vs. Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta: O/U 4.5	Over	12	0.042	$0.50	$-0.10	-17.0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	2	0.210	$0.48	$0.43	+950.0%
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?	No	8	0.057	$0.45	$-0.02	-5.0%
Will A Just Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	35	0.010	$0.35	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Dirceu Ten Caten win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	12	0.028	$0.34	$0.28	+459.8%