PnL (30d)

−$1

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

37%

10W / 17L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

28

across 27 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.35

avg win $6 · loss $6

Profit Factor

0.89

$6 won / $6 lost

Reward / Risk

0.89

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.2% 32W/26L	64	$620
⚽ Sports	58.8% 30W/21L	19	$292
🏛 Politics	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

154 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?	Yes	310	0.819	$253.86	$253.92	-428843.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 6?	No	30	1.000	$29.98	$0.02	+0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 6?	No	30	0.988	$29.64	$-0.23	-0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?	No	30	0.965	$28.95	$-0.75	-2.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?	No	30	0.915	$27.45	$0.45	+1.7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	30	0.480	$14.40	$-0.60	-4.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	No	18	0.615	$11.18	$0.27	+2.5%
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	5	0.205	$1.02	$0.86	+515.0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	6	0.165	$0.99	$-0.03	-2.9%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?	Yes	355	0.003	$0.89	$1.38	-279.7%
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	5	0.174	$0.87	$0.71	+423.2%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	364	0.002	$0.55	$-10.84	-95.2%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next?	Yes	355	0.002	$0.53	$1.03	-207.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	Yes	5	0.099	$0.49	$0.12	+33.8%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	5	0.075	$0.38	$-0.49	-56.7%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	5	0.075	$0.38	$0.38	-59619.0%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?	Yes	99	0.003	$0.25	$-2.76	-91.8%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	70	0.004	$0.24	$0.22	+799.5%
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	5	0.043	$0.21	$0.21	-19243.2%
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	135	0.002	$0.20	$-1.07	-84.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	135	0.002	$0.20	$-1.07	-84.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	364	0.001	$0.18	$-11.21	-98.4%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next?	Yes	355	0.001	$0.18	$0.67	-135.9%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Cleveland Browns next?	Yes	355	0.001	$0.18	$0.67	-135.9%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next?	Yes	355	0.001	$0.18	$0.67	-135.9%