| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
6,345 |
0.987 |
$6,259.45 |
$240.41 |
+4.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,610 |
0.987 |
$4,547.87 |
$275.85 |
+6.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
11,500 |
0.270 |
$3,104.94 |
$221.19 |
+7.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
3,184 |
0.963 |
$3,064.23 |
$193.33 |
+6.7% |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? |
No |
2,708 |
0.962 |
$2,605.12 |
$120.49 |
+4.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
3,100 |
0.635 |
$1,968.66 |
$31.72 |
+1.6% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
1,746 |
0.983 |
$1,715.44 |
$178.48 |
+11.6% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
1,699 |
0.945 |
$1,605.73 |
$214.27 |
+15.4% |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? |
Yes |
1,617 |
0.980 |
$1,584.21 |
$40.42 |
+2.6% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
1,500 |
1.000 |
$1,499.25 |
$9.75 |
+0.7% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
1,600 |
0.865 |
$1,384.00 |
$-19.00 |
-1.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
No |
1,400 |
0.969 |
$1,355.90 |
$71.80 |
+5.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,100 |
0.645 |
$1,354.49 |
$507.01 |
+59.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? |
No |
1,297 |
0.970 |
$1,258.39 |
$69.76 |
+5.9% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,200 |
0.924 |
$1,109.37 |
$72.40 |
+7.0% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
No |
1,403 |
0.760 |
$1,066.25 |
$70.93 |
+7.1% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
1,138 |
0.935 |
$1,063.56 |
$88.56 |
+9.1% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,247 |
0.845 |
$1,053.46 |
$83.01 |
+8.6% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? |
No |
1,200 |
0.824 |
$988.75 |
$-33.42 |
-3.3% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
1,000 |
0.865 |
$865.00 |
$24.00 |
+2.9% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
841 |
0.984 |
$827.94 |
$62.68 |
+8.2% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? |
No |
758 |
0.875 |
$662.97 |
$62.34 |
+10.4% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
830 |
0.715 |
$593.45 |
$116.35 |
+24.4% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.961 |
$576.60 |
$53.10 |
+10.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
600 |
0.865 |
$519.02 |
$24.85 |
+5.0% |