| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,762 |
0.835 |
$1,471.29 |
$201.62 |
+15.9% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
1,145 |
0.935 |
$1,070.24 |
$277.19 |
+35.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
680 |
0.835 |
$568.18 |
$-12.63 |
-2.2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
458 |
0.745 |
$340.95 |
$52.79 |
+18.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
384 |
0.765 |
$293.87 |
$90.59 |
+44.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
296 |
0.925 |
$273.85 |
$51.35 |
+23.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.850 |
$184.83 |
$8.70 |
+4.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
222 |
0.775 |
$172.07 |
$72.93 |
+73.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
442 |
0.375 |
$165.88 |
$-11.59 |
-6.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
155 |
0.885 |
$137.27 |
$12.26 |
+9.8% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
148 |
0.845 |
$125.25 |
$18.46 |
+17.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
160 |
0.680 |
$108.47 |
$-2.39 |
-2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
97 |
1.000 |
$96.57 |
$27.57 |
+40.0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
65 |
0.945 |
$61.58 |
$10.93 |
+21.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
64 |
0.905 |
$58.24 |
$6.86 |
+13.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.890 |
$52.59 |
$11.78 |
+28.9% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
66 |
0.675 |
$44.72 |
$5.45 |
+13.9% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
40 |
0.905 |
$36.20 |
$5.00 |
+16.0% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
36 |
0.895 |
$32.40 |
$4.73 |
+17.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
29 |
0.999 |
$28.96 |
$11.55 |
+66.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
38 |
0.455 |
$17.10 |
$0.39 |
+2.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.690 |
$6.18 |
$-0.00 |
-0.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
No |
6 |
0.715 |
$4.10 |
$1.81 |
+78.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1 |
0.435 |
$0.48 |
$-0.10 |
-16.7% |