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Trader leaderboard/BKno95

BKno95

0x0d93b6645d7c7730dea3e8912d1ef1618ead8cbe
PnL (30d)
−$81
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$350
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
34%
12W / 23L · 143 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
91W / 87L
Trades (30d)
178
across 37 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$9.04
avg win $5 · loss $37
Profit Factor
0.27
$31 won / $112 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,174 · all-time $334,637

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 34.3% 12W/23L 37 $3,530
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 6 $378

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

40 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01? Yes 1,020 0.953 $971.37 $94.27 +10.7%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 622 0.940 $584.39 $75.65 +14.9%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 1,400 0.375 $525.00 $280.43 +114.7%
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 10–15%? Yes 390 0.986 $384.54 $10.24 +2.7%
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No 300 0.962 $288.45 $99.58 +52.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? Yes 295 0.948 $279.51 $31.38 +12.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? Yes 1,577 0.151 $238.12 $77.86 +48.6%
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 1,873 0.059 $111.44 $-101.35 -47.6%
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? Yes 100 0.973 $97.25 $8.25 +9.3%
Will AfD win 50 or more seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 100 0.943 $94.30 $4.30 +4.8%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 200 0.430 $86.00 $41.60 +93.7%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes 96 0.685 $65.75 $-0.35 -0.5%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 65 0.951 $61.78 $3.15 +5.4%
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%? Yes 1,867 0.033 $61.61 $-44.45 -41.9%
Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? No 50 0.989 $49.45 $2.95 +6.3%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%? No 50 0.986 $49.30 $29.30 +146.5%
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%? Yes 50 0.985 $49.23 $34.73 +239.5%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? Yes 49 0.991 $48.18 $2.93 +6.5%
Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? No 100 0.415 $41.50 $5.50 +15.3%
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 40 0.975 $38.98 $2.18 +5.9%
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? Yes 35 0.991 $34.67 $1.78 +5.4%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 50,000-60,000? No 34 0.997 $33.88 $2.94 +9.5%
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? No 30 0.945 $28.35 $1.65 +6.2%
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? Yes 42 0.515 $21.62 $-0.53 -2.4%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? No 20 0.998 $19.95 $0.45 +2.3%