PnL (30d)

−$19

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$16

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

52%

88W / 82L · 40 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

110W / 100L

Trades (30d)

210

across 17 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

−$1.43

avg win $14 · loss $20

Profit Factor

0.84

$101 won / $120 lost

Reward / Risk

0.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	54.2% 115W/97L	30	$8,662
🏛 Politics	100.0% 23W/0L	1	$612

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	1,045	0.959	$1,001.48	$1.48	+0.1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	No	1,025	0.969	$992.32	$-7.68	-0.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	867	0.865	$749.53	$31.12	+4.3%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	63	0.989	$62.25	$6.20	+11.1%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	52	0.940	$49.06	$12.52	+34.3%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	58	0.356	$20.75	$-12.15	-36.9%
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	18	0.818	$14.65	$-2.71	-15.6%
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	32	0.210	$6.69	$-15.96	-70.5%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	4	0.001	$0.00	$-2.60	-99.9%