| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
No |
664 |
0.485 |
$322.18 |
$19.13 |
+6.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
419 |
0.545 |
$228.53 |
$-7.86 |
-3.3% |
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? |
No |
1,102 |
0.185 |
$203.90 |
$-65.76 |
-24.4% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
258 |
0.785 |
$202.56 |
$1.29 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
1,200 |
0.165 |
$197.94 |
$-60.74 |
-23.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
485 |
0.385 |
$186.86 |
$-32.96 |
-15.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
1,156 |
0.130 |
$150.25 |
$-99.84 |
-39.9% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
210 |
0.705 |
$148.16 |
$-1.05 |
-0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.485 |
$145.19 |
$19.45 |
+15.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
136 |
0.935 |
$126.82 |
$-0.08 |
-0.1% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? |
Yes |
1,226 |
0.095 |
$116.52 |
$-78.70 |
-40.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
471 |
0.195 |
$91.79 |
$-238.06 |
-72.2% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
Yes |
300 |
0.295 |
$88.50 |
$16.50 |
+22.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
300 |
0.265 |
$79.40 |
$42.34 |
+114.2% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Yes |
528 |
0.135 |
$71.27 |
$13.18 |
+22.7% |
| Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? |
Yes |
299 |
0.220 |
$65.80 |
$-1.50 |
-2.2% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.215 |
$64.33 |
$-7.50 |
-10.4% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.189 |
$56.45 |
$-16.27 |
-22.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
392 |
0.135 |
$52.90 |
$-22.63 |
-30.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
299 |
0.165 |
$49.41 |
$-16.39 |
-24.9% |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027? |
Yes |
275 |
0.175 |
$48.09 |
$-6.12 |
-11.3% |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? |
Yes |
46 |
0.870 |
$40.02 |
$4.60 |
+13.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? |
No |
99 |
0.325 |
$32.28 |
$-7.07 |
-18.0% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? |
Yes |
251 |
0.128 |
$32.00 |
$19.21 |
+150.2% |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next? |
No |
32 |
1.000 |
$31.98 |
$0.18 |
+0.6% |