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Trader

0x0d15e2724df455f9e65b15104d21d76412a2c454
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8,453
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
100%
24W / 0L
Trades (30d)
24
across 3 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $15,719 · all-time $5,442,106

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 91.7% 11W/1L 10 $109,792
🏛 Politics 2 $8,195
💵 Economy 1 $3,504
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $340

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 67,891 0.945 $64,157.25 $9,520.87 +17.4%
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? No 51,359 0.986 $50,614.77 $843.37 +1.7%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 25,242 0.963 $24,295.59 $2,818.21 +13.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 16,000 0.945 $15,119.99 $2,015.12 +15.4%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No 10,000 0.963 $9,625.00 $485.00 +5.3%
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No 8,624 0.860 $7,416.91 $604.70 +8.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? Yes 7,498 0.895 $6,710.26 $2,011.86 +42.8%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 5,507 0.895 $4,928.35 $1,064.32 +27.5%
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No 5,000 0.880 $4,399.99 $650.00 +17.3%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 5,641 0.750 $4,231.06 $17.93 +0.4%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No 4,583 0.905 $4,147.79 $664.56 +19.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 5,300 0.625 $3,312.50 $447.51 +15.6%
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 3,000 0.947 $2,839.49 $289.50 +11.4%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 2,350 0.785 $1,844.77 $885.03 +92.2%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 2,000 0.745 $1,490.00 $-30.00 -2.0%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 1,446 0.865 $1,250.52 $122.88 +10.9%
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No 1,209 0.875 $1,057.55 $90.65 +9.4%
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? No 874 0.910 $795.79 $139.92 +21.3%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 212 0.850 $180.14 $103.81 +136.0%
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? No 192 0.905 $173.46 $39.29 +29.3%
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No 140 0.880 $123.63 $8.43 +7.3%
Deel IPO before 2027? No 123 0.955 $117.47 $27.68 +30.8%
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? No 49 0.805 $39.66 $7.14 +22.0%
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No 18 0.725 $12.96 $2.41 +22.9%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 5 0.956 $4.78 $1.03 +27.5%