| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
89,000 |
0.595 |
$52,955.00 |
$8,455.00 |
+19.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
89,000 |
0.405 |
$36,045.00 |
$-8,455.00 |
-19.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,836 |
0.645 |
$2,474.22 |
$1,310.18 |
+112.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
1,497 |
0.740 |
$1,107.98 |
$160.30 |
+16.9% |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? |
Yes |
602 |
0.967 |
$581.65 |
$46.32 |
+8.7% |
| Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
716 |
0.700 |
$501.02 |
$386.50 |
+337.5% |
| Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? |
Yes |
500 |
0.993 |
$496.25 |
$86.25 |
+21.0% |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31? |
No |
537 |
0.680 |
$364.98 |
$68.41 |
+23.1% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
565 |
0.605 |
$341.73 |
$18.25 |
+5.6% |
| Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? |
Yes |
308 |
0.997 |
$306.59 |
$11.23 |
+3.8% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.940 |
$282.00 |
$33.00 |
+13.3% |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
407 |
0.680 |
$276.92 |
$64.80 |
+30.5% |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
590 |
0.410 |
$241.74 |
$-7.28 |
-2.9% |
| Will Trump say "COVID" or "Warp Speed" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
515 |
0.430 |
$221.45 |
$44.05 |
+24.8% |
| Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
497 |
0.440 |
$218.48 |
$89.27 |
+69.1% |
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
686 |
0.300 |
$205.80 |
$55.43 |
+36.9% |
| Will Trump say "Shit" in August? |
Yes |
221 |
0.870 |
$191.98 |
$89.96 |
+88.2% |
| Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
240 |
0.690 |
$165.58 |
$18.38 |
+12.5% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
337 |
0.460 |
$155.02 |
$15.48 |
+11.1% |
| Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
401 |
0.385 |
$154.41 |
$38.14 |
+32.8% |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.075 |
$150.00 |
$-80.00 |
-34.8% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
1,048 |
0.120 |
$125.73 |
$-42.39 |
-25.2% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
1,536 |
0.073 |
$112.90 |
$82.67 |
+273.5% |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? |
Yes |
339 |
0.320 |
$108.49 |
$-101.71 |
-48.4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.052 |
$105.00 |
$5.00 |
+5.0% |