PnL (30d)

+$70

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,384

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

82%

112W / 24L · 434 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

471W / 73L · 26 open

Trades (30d)

570

across 33 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

+$4.98

avg win $8 · loss $12

Profit Factor

3.99

$93 won / $23 lost

Reward / Risk

0.67

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	82.4% 112W/24L	33	$98,182
🏛 Politics	100.0% 15W/0L	12	$48,671
💵 Economy	—	2	$191
🤖 Tech	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	858	0.846	$725.44	$-54.79	-7.0%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	487	0.854	$415.92	$6.58	+1.6%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	400	0.983	$393.00	$1.40	+0.4%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	398	0.984	$391.61	$1.99	+0.5%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	600	0.600	$359.90	$4.81	+1.4%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	500	0.610	$305.00	$5.00	+1.7%
Will Carmela Conroy advance to the general election for WA-05?	No	423	0.310	$131.26	$-11.30	-7.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	3	0.997	$2.57	$0.15	+6.1%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?	Yes	4,483	0.001	$2.24	$-184.42	-98.8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?	Yes	500	0.004	$1.75	$-11.25	-86.5%