Lastworld13
0x0c18cf122dce8556302ff496affe379097aba04c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$14
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$30
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
13W / 5L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
74%
14W / 5L
Trades (30d)
19
across 8 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$2.07
avg win $19 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.80
$56 won / $71 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,746 · all-time $1,752,436
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
2,233 |
0.315 |
$703.29 |
$-64.34 |
-8.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
244 |
0.535 |
$130.49 |
$30.49 |
+30.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
255 |
0.075 |
$19.11 |
$-2.89 |
-13.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
20 |
0.855 |
$17.45 |
$7.45 |
+74.5% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
Yes |
520 |
0.024 |
$12.22 |
$-0.78 |
-6.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
8 |
0.036 |
$0.30 |
$-0.70 |
-69.6% |