PnL (30d)

−$128

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$309

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

3W / 2L · 5,777 open

Win Return (30d)

52%

2,887W / 2,650L · 245 open

Trades (30d)

5,782

across 58 markets · ~100 per market

EV / position

−$64.02

avg win $30 · loss $158

Profit Factor

0.19

$30 won / $158 lost

Reward / Risk

0.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.0% 21W/9L	72	$17,502
🏛 Politics	—	6	$321
₿ Crypto	—	1	$40
💵 Economy	—	1	$40
⚽ Sports	—	1	$200

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

36 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	110,000	0.005	$605.00	$-181.83	-23.1%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	4,609	0.105	$483.95	$-228.33	-32.1%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	72,552	0.006	$471.59	$-90.62	-16.1%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	57,999	0.006	$376.99	$-126.50	-25.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,477	0.232	$342.59	$-157.40	-31.5%
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	79,033	0.004	$276.61	$-238.99	-46.4%
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?	Yes	229	0.961	$219.63	$19.63	+9.8%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	26,152	0.006	$169.99	$-54.11	-24.1%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	55,999	0.003	$140.00	$-162.96	-53.8%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	36,000	0.003	$90.00	$-33.48	-27.1%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	29,486	0.003	$73.72	$-81.62	-52.5%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	20,000	0.004	$70.00	$-17.98	-20.4%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	27,999	0.003	$70.00	$-98.00	-58.3%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	15,233	0.004	$68.55	$-10.18	-12.9%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	16,000	0.004	$56.00	$-24.00	-30.0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	20,999	0.003	$52.50	$-25.54	-32.7%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	9,999	0.004	$44.99	$-25.00	-35.7%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	16,000	0.003	$40.00	$-8.00	-16.7%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	15,475	0.003	$38.69	$-19.50	-33.5%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	23,999	0.002	$36.00	$-12.00	-25.0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	7,386	0.004	$33.24	$-33.24	-50.0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12,526	0.003	$31.31	$-26.78	-46.1%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	12,000	0.003	$30.00	$-18.00	-37.5%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	3,480	0.007	$26.10	$1.74	+7.1%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	10,335	0.003	$25.84	$-25.84	-50.0%