| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
450,677 |
0.825 |
$371,808.47 |
$-31,071.92 |
-7.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
341,166 |
0.976 |
$332,807.32 |
$23,650.98 |
+7.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
122,385 |
0.962 |
$117,734.48 |
$6,468.42 |
+5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
86,404 |
0.974 |
$84,113.95 |
$-87.61 |
-0.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
49,781 |
0.987 |
$49,108.94 |
$1,098.77 |
+2.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
68,823 |
0.655 |
$45,079.07 |
$-3,060.21 |
-6.4% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
43,201 |
0.987 |
$42,617.69 |
$598.55 |
+1.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? |
No |
47,001 |
0.875 |
$41,125.89 |
$-105.85 |
-0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
80,397 |
0.385 |
$30,952.91 |
$-4,394.43 |
-12.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
30,317 |
0.986 |
$29,877.18 |
$83.86 |
+0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
25,122 |
0.695 |
$17,457.32 |
$-1,313.18 |
-7.0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
16,587 |
0.905 |
$15,010.97 |
$1,706.21 |
+12.8% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
11,178 |
0.983 |
$10,982.55 |
$10,383.28 |
+1732.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? |
No |
7,720 |
0.935 |
$7,218.35 |
$115.80 |
+1.6% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
No |
10,210 |
0.610 |
$6,228.00 |
$-408.39 |
-6.2% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
627,428 |
0.009 |
$5,960.57 |
$1,059.10 |
+21.6% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
423,886 |
0.006 |
$2,755.26 |
$-556.14 |
-16.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,876 |
0.845 |
$2,430.50 |
$532.12 |
+28.0% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
641,391 |
0.003 |
$1,603.48 |
$-3,407.07 |
-68.0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,269 |
0.905 |
$1,148.76 |
$267.13 |
+30.3% |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
440,711 |
0.003 |
$1,101.78 |
$-2,341.06 |
-68.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,305 |
0.823 |
$1,073.72 |
$439.32 |
+69.2% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
641,391 |
0.002 |
$962.09 |
$-4,048.46 |
-80.8% |
| Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
641,391 |
0.002 |
$962.09 |
$-4,048.46 |
-80.8% |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
641,391 |
0.002 |
$962.09 |
$-4,048.46 |
-80.8% |