winner123
0x0b97c6b3e2eedcf896b0d2c8d9b8a9caa0390efe
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$682
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$19
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+13.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
29W / 10L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
29W / 13L
Trades (30d)
42
across 18 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$42.62
avg win $146 · loss $185
Profit Factor
1.74
$1,606 won / $924 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $750 · all-time $479,793
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.765 |
$765.00 |
$-95.00 |
-11.0% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
881 |
0.765 |
$674.28 |
$-4.41 |
-0.6% |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? |
No |
540 |
0.795 |
$429.30 |
$185.89 |
+76.4% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.215 |
$258.00 |
$-90.00 |
-25.9% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.105 |
$105.00 |
$-15.00 |
-12.5% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? |
No |
100 |
0.865 |
$86.50 |
$27.50 |
+46.6% |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
27 |
0.974 |
$26.77 |
$1.48 |
+5.9% |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.930 |
$4.89 |
$0.63 |
+14.8% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.001 |
$1.00 |
$-414.00 |
-99.8% |