choppah
0x0b9168da5620dfab028b53c753a3be88d585ae77
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$343
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$211
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
21%
10W / 37L · 23 open
Win Return (30d)
27%
19W / 51L
Trades (30d)
70
across 10 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$48.93
avg win $562 · loss $507
Profit Factor
0.83
$1,686 won / $2,029 lost
Reward / Risk
1.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$605
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $26,829 · all-time $1,765,952
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
5,500 |
0.455 |
$2,502.49 |
$-82.50 |
-3.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.478 |
$957.00 |
$223.00 |
+30.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.160 |
$800.00 |
$100.00 |
+14.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
2,500 |
0.305 |
$762.50 |
$187.50 |
+32.6% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? |
Yes |
1,500 |
0.275 |
$411.75 |
$-102.24 |
-19.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,627 |
0.143 |
$233.45 |
$86.77 |
+59.2% |