| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
41 |
0.405 |
$16.43 |
$1.82 |
+12.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
58 |
0.209 |
$12.14 |
$2.14 |
+21.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
61 |
0.184 |
$11.21 |
$-2.24 |
-16.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
10 |
0.875 |
$9.04 |
$0.04 |
+0.5% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15 |
0.460 |
$7.09 |
$2.09 |
+41.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.959 |
$6.57 |
$1.56 |
+31.3% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.905 |
$5.73 |
$0.73 |
+14.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.855 |
$5.62 |
$0.62 |
+12.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
14 |
0.395 |
$5.46 |
$1.04 |
+23.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.650 |
$5.42 |
$0.42 |
+8.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
7 |
0.715 |
$5.20 |
$1.15 |
+28.4% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
55 |
0.095 |
$5.19 |
$-4.01 |
-43.6% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.895 |
$5.09 |
$0.65 |
+14.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
No |
6 |
0.805 |
$4.75 |
$0.44 |
+10.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.905 |
$4.71 |
$0.60 |
+14.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
5 |
0.865 |
$4.15 |
$0.12 |
+3.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
6 |
0.675 |
$4.04 |
$0.51 |
+14.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.835 |
$3.98 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? |
No |
6 |
0.655 |
$3.83 |
$-0.15 |
-3.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
4 |
0.865 |
$3.82 |
$0.11 |
+3.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.150 |
$3.15 |
$-1.10 |
-25.9% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
13 |
0.239 |
$3.12 |
$1.12 |
+56.2% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.055 |
$2.75 |
$-2.25 |
-45.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
3 |
0.745 |
$2.26 |
$0.44 |
+24.2% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3 |
0.560 |
$1.83 |
$-0.10 |
-5.1% |