| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13,420 |
0.915 |
$12,279.64 |
$794.92 |
+6.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.930 |
$3,721.95 |
$377.03 |
+11.3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
3,441 |
0.957 |
$3,291.71 |
$42.02 |
+1.3% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? |
No |
3,000 |
0.967 |
$2,901.00 |
$154.34 |
+5.6% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? |
No |
2,710 |
0.925 |
$2,506.69 |
$46.61 |
+1.9% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,939 |
0.815 |
$2,394.76 |
$-58.32 |
-2.4% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,016 |
0.560 |
$2,249.08 |
$-202.43 |
-8.3% |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
1,193 |
0.900 |
$1,073.64 |
$60.19 |
+5.9% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
958 |
0.945 |
$905.30 |
$71.85 |
+8.6% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? |
No |
532 |
0.915 |
$486.68 |
$20.30 |
+4.4% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.925 |
$185.00 |
$9.00 |
+5.1% |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? |
No |
187 |
0.890 |
$166.75 |
$11.96 |
+7.7% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.685 |
$68.50 |
$3.50 |
+5.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
60 |
0.815 |
$48.76 |
$2.69 |
+5.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.820 |
$7.95 |
$1.16 |
+17.1% |