PnL (30d)

−$90

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$224

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-6.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

18%

4W / 18L · 57 open

Win Return (30d)

8%

6W / 73L

Trades (30d)

79

across 16 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$8.23

avg win $115 · loss $21

Profit Factor

0.56

$115 won / $206 lost

Reward / Risk

5.60

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$111

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.2% 4W/18L	16	$3,166
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$671
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	1	$111

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	1,002	0.006	$6.52	$-2.38	-26.8%