PnL (30d)

−$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

49%

19W / 20L · 221 open

Win Return (30d)

21%

53W / 200L · 7 open

Trades (30d)

260

across 47 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$0.48

avg win $2 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.71

$22 won / $31 lost

Reward / Risk

0.63

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	48.7% 19W/20L	47	$1,379
🏛 Politics	50.0% 4W/4L	10	$407
🎬 Culture	100.0% 4W/0L	3	$42
💵 Economy	—	2	$49
₿ Crypto	—	1	$20

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	24	0.610	$14.87	$-0.32	-2.1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5	Under	10	0.305	$3.10	$-2.29	-42.5%