PnL (30d)

+$910

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$15

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+16.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

361W / 286L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

366W / 300L · 13 open

Trades (30d)

679

across 78 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$16.24

avg win $42 · loss $31

Profit Factor

2.49

$1,520 won / $610 lost

Reward / Risk

1.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$24

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 361W/286L	78	$10,992
🏛 Politics	67.0% 67W/33L	19	$2,001
🎬 Culture	67.0% 67W/33L	19	$2,001
₿ Crypto	—	1	$32
💵 Economy	—	1	$32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.022	$22.50	$0.50	+2.3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	400	0.029	$11.80	$-20.20	-63.1%
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	5	1.000	$5.00	$0.10	+2.1%
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	5	0.999	$5.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	5	0.999	$4.99	$-0.00	-0.1%
Will CZ post 140-159 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.996	$4.98	$-0.01	-0.3%
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.996	$4.98	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$-0.01	-0.3%
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$-0.01	-0.3%
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will CZ post 160-179 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	5	0.995	$4.97	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	4	0.995	$4.44	$-0.02	-0.4%
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	730	0.006	$4.38	$3.65	+500.0%
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	1,000	0.003	$3.00	$1.00	+50.0%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	68	0.016	$1.08	$1.01	+1499.8%
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	457	0.002	$0.91	$0.00	+0.0%