| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
550 |
0.298 |
$164.17 |
$-10.09 |
-5.8% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.985 |
$98.45 |
$0.45 |
+0.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.51 |
$2.50 |
+3.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.655 |
$65.50 |
$-10.50 |
-13.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.815 |
$65.19 |
$-4.81 |
-6.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
200 |
0.305 |
$61.00 |
$7.00 |
+13.0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
No |
160 |
0.325 |
$52.00 |
$-15.60 |
-23.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.255 |
$51.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.945 |
$47.25 |
$-0.25 |
-0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.935 |
$46.75 |
$0.25 |
+0.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
50 |
0.930 |
$46.50 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
71 |
0.645 |
$45.92 |
$-0.57 |
-1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.915 |
$45.76 |
$0.25 |
+0.6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
No |
50 |
0.905 |
$45.25 |
$0.25 |
+0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
50 |
0.885 |
$44.25 |
$-0.25 |
-0.6% |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
Yes |
50 |
0.875 |
$43.75 |
$-1.25 |
-2.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? |
Yes |
50 |
0.855 |
$42.76 |
$0.25 |
+0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.835 |
$41.75 |
$-4.75 |
-10.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.835 |
$41.75 |
$-0.25 |
-0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.835 |
$41.75 |
$0.25 |
+0.6% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
61 |
0.685 |
$41.73 |
$0.20 |
+0.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
300 |
0.135 |
$40.35 |
$-1.65 |
-3.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
40 |
0.981 |
$39.23 |
$0.02 |
+0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
41 |
0.905 |
$37.10 |
$0.20 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.905 |
$36.21 |
$0.20 |
+0.6% |