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Trader leaderboard/0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279

0x0Aa076ea6ec2Ea7928A1AB26a15637D61e4604A3-1774352226279

0x0aa076ea6ec2ea7928a1ab26a15637d61e4604a3
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
3W / 4L · 11 open
Win Return (30d)
72%
13W / 5L
Trades (30d)
18
across 7 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.55
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.27
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.82
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,588 · all-time $311,155

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 68.7% 647W/295L 422 $764
🏛 Politics 13 $7
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 8 $9
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $5
🎬 Culture 3 $2
🌤 Weather 1 $1
🔬 Science 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

87 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? Yes 50 0.064 $3.20 $2.20 +220.0%
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? Yes 214 0.011 $2.46 $1.60 +187.5%
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? Yes 500 0.004 $2.00 $1.00 +100.0%
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026? Yes 250 0.007 $1.75 $0.75 +75.0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes 167 0.008 $1.34 $0.50 +60.0%
Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen? Yes 33 0.038 $1.28 $0.28 +28.3%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 23 0.048 $1.08 $0.08 +8.0%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-24 House seat? Yes 50 0.021 $1.07 $0.07 +7.0%
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes 24 0.044 $1.05 $0.05 +4.7%
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 77 0.013 $0.96 $-0.04 -3.8%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? Yes 3 0.269 $0.91 $0.78 +589.7%
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat? No 27 0.034 $0.91 $-0.09 -9.5%
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat? Yes 27 0.032 $0.86 $-0.14 -13.5%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 333 0.003 $0.83 $-0.17 -16.7%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 333 0.003 $0.83 $-0.17 -16.7%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 333 0.003 $0.83 $-0.17 -16.7%
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No 4 0.203 $0.81 $0.64 +382.1%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 500 0.002 $0.75 $-0.25 -25.0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 286 0.003 $0.71 $-0.14 -16.7%
Will the Republican Party win the MA-08 House seat? Yes 38 0.018 $0.71 $-0.29 -28.8%