| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
664 |
0.835 |
$554.02 |
$9.14 |
+1.7% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
473 |
0.660 |
$312.39 |
$-3.24 |
-1.0% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
310 |
0.986 |
$305.66 |
$5.43 |
+1.8% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
255 |
0.985 |
$251.05 |
$3.08 |
+1.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
512 |
0.460 |
$235.26 |
$-196.27 |
-45.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
266 |
0.865 |
$230.09 |
$18.03 |
+8.5% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
212 |
0.987 |
$209.24 |
$10.49 |
+5.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
222 |
0.935 |
$207.57 |
$7.77 |
+3.9% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
209 |
0.977 |
$204.09 |
$4.29 |
+2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
207 |
0.968 |
$200.27 |
$-0.04 |
-0.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
208 |
0.961 |
$199.78 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
176 |
0.978 |
$172.07 |
$2.43 |
+1.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.964 |
$102.13 |
$0.90 |
+0.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.986 |
$98.55 |
$0.05 |
+0.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
132 |
0.745 |
$98.34 |
$-1.32 |
-1.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
115 |
0.702 |
$80.92 |
$-27.83 |
-25.6% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
55 |
0.945 |
$51.95 |
$1.73 |
+3.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? |
Yes |
51 |
0.967 |
$49.32 |
$1.22 |
+2.5% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.565 |
$22.60 |
$-6.15 |
-21.4% |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
276 |
0.015 |
$4.00 |
$-0.90 |
-18.3% |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? |
Yes |
4 |
0.922 |
$3.69 |
$1.41 |
+61.8% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
118 |
0.025 |
$2.99 |
$-1.65 |
-35.6% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? |
No |
2 |
0.963 |
$1.44 |
$0.14 |
+10.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.125 |
$1.25 |
$-2.05 |
-62.1% |
| Revolut IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
5 |
0.055 |
$0.28 |
$-0.72 |
-72.5% |