0x0a38DcF3740eE299a0607E80CB955C42a34cF931-1727027089095
0x0a38dcf3740ee299a0607e80cb955c42a34cf931
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$105
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 4L · 6 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
6W / 4L
Trades (30d)
10
across 3 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.57
· loss $5
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $179 · all-time $303,663
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
17,293 |
0.375 |
$6,484.93 |
$-1,288.50 |
-16.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
No |
4,400 |
0.535 |
$2,354.00 |
$28.00 |
+1.2% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
No |
3,789 |
0.520 |
$1,970.17 |
$127.27 |
+6.9% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
No |
2,967 |
0.415 |
$1,231.44 |
$-205.84 |
-14.3% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
Yes |
1,250 |
0.075 |
$93.75 |
$-73.75 |
-44.0% |
| Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? |
Yes |
60 |
0.074 |
$4.44 |
$0.99 |
+28.8% |