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Trader leaderboard/daniel122134

daniel122134

0x09fe78c8b9f10fb9c7c0a584bfab4205c76876ee
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
19W / 11L · 53 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
49W / 29L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
83
across 66 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.05
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.92
$14 won / $15 lost
Reward / Risk
0.36
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,540 · all-time $5,474,896

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 66.7% 945W/472L 1268 $23,555
🏛 Politics 81.8% 27W/6L 34 $2,428
🤖 Tech 53.8% 7W/6L 34 $415
🌤 Weather 78.9% 30W/8L 26 $114
💵 Economy 33.3% 2W/4L 18 $136
⚽ Sports 1 $6
🎬 Culture 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 709 0.996 $705.81 $-1.27 -0.2%
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 701 0.982 $688.35 $-11.12 -1.6%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 714 0.635 $453.46 $68.96 +17.9%
Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? No 413 0.999 $412.35 $0.62 +0.2%
Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? No 372 0.999 $371.46 $0.51 +0.1%
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? No 352 0.984 $346.37 $-4.93 -1.4%
Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01? No 332 0.979 $324.89 $-6.47 -2.0%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No 779 0.325 $253.08 $2.08 +0.8%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No 253 0.989 $250.42 $-1.29 -0.5%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR + AUR? No 250 0.990 $247.50 $-2.00 -0.8%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 335 0.515 $172.45 $-17.05 -9.0%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 879 0.162 $142.33 $106.51 +297.4%
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 873 0.163 $141.81 $-669.96 -82.5%
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No 133 0.855 $114.14 $23.59 +26.1%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR? No 107 0.994 $106.56 $-0.43 -0.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No 92 0.997 $91.82 $3.84 +4.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 216 0.395 $85.14 $42.03 +97.5%
2026 Balance of Power: Other No 76 0.996 $75.91 $0.21 +0.3%
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat? No 84 0.855 $71.71 $13.00 +22.1%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 65 0.997 $65.12 $0.18 +0.3%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 65 0.995 $64.99 $0.77 +1.2%
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR? No 64 0.980 $62.69 $-1.18 -1.9%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No 63 0.925 $57.88 $4.94 +9.3%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes 113 0.455 $51.41 $26.70 +108.0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 50 0.997 $49.83 $-0.03 -0.1%