| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
900 |
0.615 |
$553.49 |
$-1.90 |
-0.3% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? |
No |
120 |
0.925 |
$111.00 |
$11.40 |
+11.4% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
52 |
0.825 |
$42.90 |
$9.30 |
+27.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
100 |
0.305 |
$30.50 |
$3.50 |
+13.0% |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
25 |
0.945 |
$23.62 |
$1.65 |
+7.5% |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.931 |
$23.29 |
$2.14 |
+10.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
305 |
0.075 |
$22.87 |
$-11.27 |
-33.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
133 |
0.147 |
$19.56 |
$-23.94 |
-55.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
45 |
0.395 |
$17.77 |
$-1.57 |
-8.1% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? |
Yes |
80 |
0.161 |
$12.88 |
$-1.60 |
-11.0% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.845 |
$12.67 |
$2.77 |
+28.0% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.630 |
$12.59 |
$-1.60 |
-11.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
40 |
0.278 |
$11.10 |
$1.06 |
+10.6% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? |
Yes |
148 |
0.075 |
$11.06 |
$-0.74 |
-6.2% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.940 |
$9.40 |
$1.10 |
+13.3% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.215 |
$8.60 |
$-7.80 |
-47.6% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.855 |
$8.55 |
$-0.25 |
-2.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
10 |
0.845 |
$8.45 |
$-0.15 |
-1.7% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
149 |
0.055 |
$8.22 |
$-0.75 |
-8.3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
10 |
0.790 |
$7.91 |
$-0.21 |
-2.6% |
| Government shutdown by October 1? |
Yes |
35 |
0.225 |
$7.87 |
$-0.28 |
-3.4% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
240 |
0.032 |
$7.68 |
$-2.64 |
-25.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
90 |
0.085 |
$7.65 |
$-1.55 |
-16.8% |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.055 |
$5.50 |
$-4.50 |
-45.0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
84 |
0.065 |
$5.48 |
$-3.92 |
-41.7% |