PnL (30d)

−$1,089

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$417

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-10.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

11%

1W / 8L · 39 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

23W / 25L

Trades (30d)

48

across 28 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$181.53

avg win $12 · loss $220

Profit Factor

0.01

$12 won / $1,101 lost

Reward / Risk

0.05

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$570

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	11.1% 1W/8L	28	$23,372
🏛 Politics	50.0% 1W/1L	12	$12,953
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$570

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	11,915	0.675	$8,042.64	$311.18	+4.0%
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	3,251	0.837	$2,721.03	$486.74	+21.8%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	3,330	0.515	$1,715.17	$-418.30	-19.6%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	1,886	0.335	$631.94	$-508.05	-44.6%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	1,126	0.445	$501.05	$22.10	+4.6%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	914	0.485	$443.38	$28.37	+6.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	535	0.645	$345.09	$68.37	+24.7%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	400	0.675	$269.91	$19.91	+8.0%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	492	0.440	$216.42	$-56.52	-20.7%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	480	0.440	$211.29	$11.29	+5.6%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	303	0.665	$201.52	$1.52	+0.8%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	385	0.515	$198.50	$-1.95	-1.0%
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	329	0.550	$181.10	$-18.90	-9.5%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	176	0.625	$109.87	$9.87	+9.9%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	436	0.180	$78.71	$-21.29	-21.3%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	173	0.270	$46.83	$-3.17	-6.3%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	556	0.075	$41.67	$-8.33	-16.7%
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	55	0.595	$32.46	$2.45	+8.2%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	1,182	0.013	$15.96	$-84.04	-84.0%