| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
4,687 |
0.615 |
$2,882.81 |
$226.57 |
+8.5% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.915 |
$914.99 |
$17.80 |
+2.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
530 |
0.860 |
$456.19 |
$42.44 |
+10.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
1,000 |
0.385 |
$385.00 |
$-5.00 |
-1.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.675 |
$337.50 |
$17.50 |
+5.5% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? |
No |
255 |
0.954 |
$243.14 |
$0.89 |
+0.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.511 |
$153.45 |
$-99.94 |
-39.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.085 |
$85.00 |
$5.00 |
+6.2% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
No |
175 |
0.435 |
$76.13 |
$-57.88 |
-43.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
50 |
0.953 |
$47.65 |
$3.71 |
+8.4% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
200 |
0.180 |
$36.00 |
$-40.24 |
-52.8% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
251 |
0.125 |
$31.41 |
$-25.23 |
-44.5% |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.048 |
$11.88 |
$8.54 |
+256.1% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.030 |
$7.62 |
$4.29 |
+128.6% |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.028 |
$6.88 |
$3.54 |
+106.1% |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.023 |
$5.75 |
$2.41 |
+72.4% |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.014 |
$3.50 |
$0.16 |
+4.9% |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.013 |
$3.38 |
$0.04 |
+1.2% |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.011 |
$2.88 |
$-0.46 |
-13.8% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.011 |
$2.62 |
$-0.71 |
-21.3% |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.005 |
$1.25 |
$0.75 |
+150.0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.005 |
$1.25 |
$-2.08 |
-62.5% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.011 |
$1.15 |
$-0.18 |
-13.8% |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.004 |
$1.12 |
$-2.21 |
-66.3% |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.003 |
$0.62 |
$-2.71 |
-81.3% |