notawinner99
0x097873704461492d3e23f900e07a8fbb14633137
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$27
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$38
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
4W / 0L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
80%
4W / 1L
Trades (30d)
5
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$8.87
avg win $9
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,030 · all-time $328,766
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
2,820 |
0.385 |
$1,085.70 |
$-37.87 |
-3.4% |
| Grok (Web) Outage by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
123 |
0.885 |
$109.12 |
$5.82 |
+5.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? |
No |
87 |
0.985 |
$85.65 |
$4.74 |
+5.9% |
| Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.675 |
$67.50 |
$16.50 |
+32.4% |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? |
Yes |
211 |
0.204 |
$43.23 |
$-43.10 |
-49.9% |