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Trader leaderboard/Contrarian - 7451

Contrarian - 7451

0x095dcfb123a4bc035ee6b0d624bab0cc964352cf
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$124
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$242
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
60%
35W / 23L · 1,816 open
Win Return (30d)
15%
277W / 1,597L
Trades (30d)
1,874
across 19 markets · ~99 per market
EV / position
+$62.19
avg win $125 · loss $1
Profit Factor
208.26
$125 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
208.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $17,630,657

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.5% 77W/25L 22 $58,979
🏛 Politics 5 $640

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 53,026 0.995 $52,734.75 $2,230.93 +4.4%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 38,732 0.685 $26,531.30 $921.00 +3.6%
Trump out as President before 2027? No 23,823 0.935 $22,274.65 $2,039.95 +10.1%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No 22,698 0.865 $19,633.81 $598.66 +3.1%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 16,081 0.905 $14,553.33 $2,555.40 +21.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 12,774 0.924 $11,809.95 $816.11 +7.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 11,292 0.845 $9,542.00 $421.21 +4.6%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 5,889 0.956 $5,629.73 $876.21 +18.4%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 4,866 1.000 $4,863.24 $915.32 +23.2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 2,692 0.969 $2,606.85 $141.26 +5.7%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 2,680 0.945 $2,532.69 $314.95 +14.2%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes 2,546 0.820 $2,088.00 $384.97 +22.6%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 1,653 0.905 $1,496.17 $301.78 +25.3%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 1,287 1.000 $1,286.85 $47.31 +3.8%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 1,283 0.957 $1,226.78 $136.78 +12.5%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No 2,026 0.605 $1,225.94 $-90.59 -6.9%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No 1,187 0.945 $1,121.99 $124.24 +12.5%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 1,609 0.675 $1,086.24 $176.87 +19.4%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No 911 0.968 $881.78 $86.88 +10.9%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,941 0.355 $689.16 $-342.34 -33.2%
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 715 0.880 $628.79 $148.51 +30.9%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 559 0.945 $527.81 $45.74 +9.5%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 500 0.925 $462.50 $15.90 +3.6%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 316 0.999 $315.18 $9.30 +3.0%
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes 310 0.950 $294.75 $9.31 +3.3%