PnL (30d)

+$2,040

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$373

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

86%

17,004W / 2,800L · 14,795 open

Win Return (30d)

71%

24,371W / 9,911L · 317 open

Trades (30d)

34,599

across 2,795 markets · ~12 per market

EV / position

+$1.69

avg win $46 · loss $264

Profit Factor

1.05

$47,151 won / $45,111 lost

Reward / Risk

0.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,044

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	85.9% 17,004W/2,800L	2795	$1,081,040
🏛 Politics	68.3% 643W/299L	363	$166,605
⚽ Sports	75.7% 115W/37L	251	$50,885
🎬 Culture	84.5% 409W/75L	123	$13,950
💵 Economy	77.1% 131W/39L	94	$133,641
🤖 Tech	68.8% 22W/10L	44	$3,516
🔬 Science	—	14	$1,120
🌤 Weather	—	7	$213
₿ Crypto	—	3	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	8	0.886	$6.65	$6.07	+1052.4%
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	4,917	0.001	$2.46	$-52.78	-95.5%
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	4,149	0.001	$2.07	$-170.80	-98.8%
Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	4,047	0.001	$2.02	$-124.44	-98.4%
Will Anthony Carbonaro be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	4,047	0.001	$2.02	$-124.44	-98.4%
Will Nazmul Hassan be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	4,047	0.001	$2.02	$-124.44	-98.4%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,749	0.001	$1.87	$-115.29	-98.4%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,749	0.001	$1.87	$-115.29	-98.4%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,587	0.001	$1.79	$-110.31	-98.4%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3,087	0.001	$1.54	$-94.94	-98.4%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2,197	0.001	$1.10	$-63.53	-98.3%
Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	2,142	0.001	$1.07	$-106.02	-99.0%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	2	0.495	$0.98	$0.01	+1.0%
Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,949	0.001	$0.97	$-96.47	-99.0%
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,869	0.001	$0.93	$-24.33	-96.3%
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,444	0.001	$0.72	$-18.80	-96.3%
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,444	0.001	$0.72	$-18.80	-96.3%
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,444	0.001	$0.72	$-18.80	-96.3%
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	1,380	0.001	$0.69	$-68.33	-99.0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	1,302	0.001	$0.65	$-40.03	-98.4%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	1,177	0.001	$0.59	$-97.49	-99.4%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	1,177	0.001	$0.59	$-97.49	-99.4%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	1,131	0.001	$0.57	$-93.70	-99.4%
Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	975	0.001	$0.49	$-48.27	-99.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	1	0.369	$0.38	$0.33	+601.9%