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Trader leaderboard/ourdemocracy

ourdemocracy

0x08c95f70b0565ee01fbb30705b61aa641616a2ef
PnL (30d)
−$69
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$71
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
73%
30W / 11L · 111 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
74W / 76L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
152
across 54 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$11.46
avg win $134 · loss $303
Profit Factor
0.89
$536 won / $605 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $16,809 · all-time $4,191,235

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 73.2% 30W/11L 54 $53,934
🏛 Politics 17 $11,191
💵 Economy 7 $9,075
🎬 Culture 3 $565
₿ Crypto 2 $1,123
🌤 Weather 1 $99

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No 4,269 0.935 $3,991.93 $230.95 +6.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes 11,552 0.145 $1,675.11 $-202.16 -10.8%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No 1,265 0.968 $1,223.94 $27.20 +2.3%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No 1,307 0.850 $1,110.78 $60.78 +5.8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,000 0.981 $980.50 $62.50 +6.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? No 846 0.993 $840.06 $9.31 +1.1%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No 904 0.835 $754.97 $52.79 +7.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No 700 0.949 $663.95 $12.95 +2.0%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? No 685 0.885 $606.38 $26.39 +4.5%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No 572 0.964 $551.65 $50.41 +10.1%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No 500 0.875 $437.50 $-2.50 -0.6%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? No 432 0.955 $412.88 $45.40 +12.4%
Nick Fuentes federally charged? No 387 0.965 $373.45 $-1.55 -0.4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No 400 0.930 $372.00 $20.00 +5.7%
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31? No 300 0.979 $293.55 $11.76 +4.2%
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30? No 300 0.955 $286.50 $1.50 +0.5%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 300 0.955 $286.50 $1.50 +0.5%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? No 300 0.940 $282.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August? No 300 0.940 $282.00 $-9.89 -3.4%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 300 0.940 $282.00 $21.30 +8.2%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? No 300 0.934 $280.20 $-1.05 -0.4%
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by August 31? No 235 0.957 $224.78 $1.53 +0.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $725B by August 31? No 200 0.989 $197.70 $5.70 +3.0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by August 31, 2026? No 200 0.920 $184.00 $12.00 +7.0%
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? No 200 0.900 $180.00 $-4.00 -2.2%