| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
12,753 |
0.835 |
$10,648.80 |
$3,982.74 |
+59.7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
No |
13,039 |
0.735 |
$9,583.52 |
$84.56 |
+0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
No |
7,118 |
0.765 |
$5,445.20 |
$5.64 |
+0.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
4,458 |
0.835 |
$3,722.43 |
$200.61 |
+5.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6,275 |
0.555 |
$3,482.72 |
$42.70 |
+1.2% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
4,699 |
0.670 |
$3,148.25 |
$-113.19 |
-3.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5,702 |
0.515 |
$2,936.53 |
$184.64 |
+6.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House |
Yes |
6,799 |
0.405 |
$2,753.52 |
$310.90 |
+12.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
3,484 |
0.615 |
$2,142.65 |
$-581.37 |
-21.3% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,322 |
0.895 |
$2,077.90 |
$692.16 |
+49.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? |
No |
2,300 |
0.825 |
$1,897.85 |
$491.88 |
+35.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
1,559 |
0.976 |
$1,520.80 |
$226.83 |
+17.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
No |
2,775 |
0.545 |
$1,512.42 |
$-173.68 |
-10.3% |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? |
No |
1,657 |
0.750 |
$1,242.88 |
$550.95 |
+79.6% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? |
No |
1,288 |
0.875 |
$1,126.98 |
$501.02 |
+80.0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
3,058 |
0.278 |
$848.59 |
$632.97 |
+293.6% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? |
No |
990 |
0.780 |
$772.19 |
$158.40 |
+25.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
1,437 |
0.515 |
$739.92 |
$-115.62 |
-13.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
959 |
0.705 |
$676.09 |
$81.51 |
+13.7% |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? |
Yes |
1,001 |
0.655 |
$655.65 |
$-45.04 |
-6.4% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
7,541 |
0.050 |
$373.26 |
$-36.31 |
-8.9% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,597 |
0.135 |
$350.60 |
$-64.93 |
-15.6% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
No |
372 |
0.920 |
$342.66 |
$145.26 |
+73.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5,495 |
0.052 |
$288.46 |
$-65.08 |
-18.4% |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 |
Yes |
1,108 |
0.255 |
$282.42 |
$148.13 |
+110.3% |