| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
4,800 |
0.835 |
$4,008.00 |
$-179.56 |
-4.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,600 |
0.968 |
$1,548.00 |
$-6.80 |
-0.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
600 |
0.987 |
$591.90 |
$11.98 |
+2.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.165 |
$330.00 |
$101.00 |
+44.1% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
300 |
0.987 |
$295.95 |
$6.67 |
+2.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
240 |
0.885 |
$212.40 |
$18.00 |
+9.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.835 |
$167.00 |
$25.40 |
+17.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
150 |
0.945 |
$141.75 |
$10.25 |
+7.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
300 |
0.375 |
$112.50 |
$-10.50 |
-8.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
300 |
0.235 |
$70.50 |
$-19.50 |
-21.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
100 |
0.695 |
$69.49 |
$4.69 |
+7.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
80 |
0.865 |
$69.20 |
$2.60 |
+3.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
70 |
0.935 |
$65.45 |
$3.05 |
+4.9% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.50 |
$-4.10 |
-6.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.625 |
$62.50 |
$-0.60 |
-1.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.285 |
$56.98 |
$-16.02 |
-21.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
50 |
0.981 |
$49.02 |
$4.02 |
+8.9% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.680 |
$47.60 |
$1.70 |
+3.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
70 |
0.655 |
$45.85 |
$4.65 |
+11.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
60 |
0.715 |
$42.89 |
$14.50 |
+51.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
40 |
0.945 |
$37.80 |
$1.80 |
+5.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
50 |
0.715 |
$35.74 |
$7.75 |
+27.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
90 |
0.375 |
$33.73 |
$-0.85 |
-2.5% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
No |
30 |
0.987 |
$29.59 |
$2.89 |
+10.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
50 |
0.590 |
$29.50 |
$5.00 |
+20.4% |