PnL (30d)

+$397

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$30

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+69.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

71%

1,433W / 576L · 5,749 open

Win Return (30d)

84%

6,167W / 1,162L · 429 open

Trades (30d)

7,758

across 436 markets · ~18 per market

EV / position

+$2.72

avg win $5 · loss $1

Profit Factor

6.58

$468 won / $71 lost

Reward / Risk

3.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	71.3% 1,433W/576L	436	$1,618
🏛 Politics	96.4% 81W/3L	54	$203
🎬 Culture	59.1% 13W/9L	25	$55
💵 Economy	53.1% 17W/15L	20	$55
⚽ Sports	—	18	$32
₿ Crypto	100.0% 8W/0L	9	$43
🔬 Science	—	6	$16
🌤 Weather	—	4	$16
🤖 Tech	100.0% 4W/0L	4	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

112 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	21,108	0.002	$31.66	$10.55	+50.0%
Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	10,428	0.002	$15.64	$5.21	+50.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	31,108	0.001	$15.55	$-15.55	-50.0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9,238	0.002	$13.86	$4.62	+50.0%
Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	6,764	0.002	$10.15	$3.38	+50.0%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	15,554	0.001	$7.78	$-7.78	-50.0%
Will Solana dip to $10 in August?	Yes	3,769	0.002	$5.65	$1.88	+50.0%
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	3,476	0.002	$5.21	$1.74	+50.0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	9,999	0.001	$5.00	$-5.00	-50.0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	9,999	0.001	$5.00	$-5.00	-50.0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	8,888	0.001	$4.44	$-4.44	-50.0%
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	2,752	0.002	$4.13	$1.38	+50.0%
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	2,299	0.002	$3.45	$1.15	+50.0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	6,667	0.001	$3.33	$-3.33	-50.0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?	Yes	1,396	0.002	$2.79	$1.40	+100.0%
Will Tom Brady be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	108	0.025	$2.70	$2.60	+2400.0%
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?	Yes	593	0.004	$2.37	$1.78	+300.0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	1,427	0.002	$2.14	$0.71	+50.0%
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	1,388	0.002	$2.08	$0.69	+50.0%
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	4,086	0.001	$2.04	$-2.04	-50.0%
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	1,333	0.002	$2.00	$0.67	+50.0%
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	1,322	0.002	$1.98	$0.66	+50.0%
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	463	0.004	$1.85	$1.39	+300.0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	3,666	0.001	$1.83	$-1.83	-50.0%
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August?	Yes	1,169	0.002	$1.75	$0.53	+43.8%